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Economic Growth

Trend growth and positive and negative output gaps

  • 3 things to know
  • Papers 2 and 3

Overview

Recall questions on the long-term trend rate, what a positive and a negative output gap mean, and why output gaps are hard to measure.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Key term

How is the actual growth rate of an economy measured?

Key term

What is a negative output gap?

Key term

Why does actual growth fluctuate around the long-term trend growth rate?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    How is the actual growth rate of an economy measured?

    Model answer

    The actual growth rate is measured as the percentage change in real GDP over a specific time period.

  2. 2

    What does the long-term trend growth rate represent?

    Model answer

    The long-term trend growth rate represents the sustainable rate at which an economy can grow over time, determined by increases in productive capacity.

  3. 3

    Why does actual growth fluctuate around the long-term trend growth rate?

    Model answer

    Actual growth fluctuates around the long-term trend due to the economic cycle, while trend growth reflects the underlying productive potential of the economy.

  4. 4

    What distinguishes actual growth from trend growth in terms of what each measures?

    Model answer

    Actual growth measures short-term changes in real GDP that vary with the economic cycle, whereas trend growth reflects the economy's underlying productive potential over time.

  5. 5

    Define an output gap.

    Model answer

    An output gap is the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP, where potential GDP is the level of output when all resources are fully employed.

  6. 6

    What is a positive output gap?

    Model answer

    A positive output gap occurs when actual GDP exceeds potential GDP, meaning the economy is operating above its sustainable capacity.

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