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The Role of the State in the Macroeconomy

What drives deficits and debt, and why their size matters

  • 3 things to know
  • Papers 2 and 3

Overview

Recall questions on how spending, taxes, ageing and interest rates affect the deficit, what determines the national debt, and why deficits and debt matter, from crowding out and lost confidence to fiscal flexibility, sustainability and intergenerational equity.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Key term

In what ways do changes in tax rates and the tax base affect fiscal deficits?

Key term

How can economic growth reduce national debt as a proportion of GDP without any change in the absolute debt level?

Key term

What is the primary factor determining the size of national debt over time?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    How can discretionary changes in government spending programmes affect the fiscal deficit?

    Model answer

    Increases in spending programmes widen the deficit, while cuts to spending programmes reduce it.

  2. 2

    In what ways do changes in tax rates and the tax base affect fiscal deficits?

    Model answer

    Higher tax rates or a broader tax base increase revenue and reduce deficits; lower rates or a narrower base reduce revenue and increase deficits.

  3. 3

    How does an ageing population influence the size of fiscal deficits?

    Model answer

    It increases pension and healthcare costs, raising government expenditure and widening the fiscal deficit.

  4. 4

    Why do higher interest rates tend to increase fiscal deficits?

    Model answer

    They raise debt servicing costs, increasing government expenditure on interest payments.

  5. 5

    What is the primary factor determining the size of national debt over time?

    Model answer

    The cumulative effect of past fiscal deficits and surpluses.

  6. 6

    How can economic growth reduce national debt as a proportion of GDP without any change in the absolute debt level?

    Model answer

    If GDP grows faster than the debt, the debt-to-GDP ratio falls even though the nominal debt remains unchanged.

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