CCEA A-Level Business 3210
Enterprise and Entrepreneurship
The Central Purpose of Business Activity
Forms of Business Ownership
Stakeholder Groups
Markets and Market Forces
Quality Management
Productivity and Investment
Organisational Design
Investing in People
Motivation
Principles of Management and Leadership
Market Size, Share and Growth
The Degree of Competition in a Market
Market Research
The Marketing Mix
Elasticity of Demand
The Product Life Cycle
Market Planning and Strategy
E-Business and E-Commerce
Sources of Finance
Break-Even Analysis
Cash Flow
Cash Flow Forecasts
Budgeting
Financial Statements
Business Objectives
Organisational Culture
Stakeholder Objectives
Communication
Economies and Diseconomies of Scale
Business Strategy and Planning
Decision Tree Analysis
Risk and Uncertainty
Company Accounts
Ratio Analysis
Investment Appraisal
The Macroeconomic Framework
Government Policies
Globalisation
Business Ethics and Organisational Culture
Sustainability
Corporate Social Responsibility
The Influence of Stakeholder Groups
Organisational Structures
Monopolies, Mergers, Takeovers and Restrictive Practices
Change Management
Business Strategy and Planning
Decision trees, expected value, and their limitations
- 3 things to know
- Unit A2 1
Overview
What the square and circular nodes mean, how probabilities and values combine into an expected value and then a net gain, and what the method cannot weigh.
What you need to know
Answer each one before you reveal it.
What do square nodes represent in a decision tree?
What do circular nodes represent in a decision tree?
Questions from this subtopic
Each one with the model answer underneath.
- 1
What is a decision tree?
Model answer
A diagram showing different decision options, possible outcomes, probabilities, and expected financial values to aid decision making.
- 2
What do square nodes represent in a decision tree?
Model answer
Decision points where a choice must be made between alternatives.
- 3
What do circular nodes represent in a decision tree?
Model answer
Chance nodes where different outcomes may occur with associated probabilities.
- 4
What must the probabilities at each chance node in a decision tree sum to?
Model answer
1 (or 100%), as they represent all possible outcomes.
- 5
What two steps are involved in calculating expected value at a chance node?
Model answer
Multiply each outcome by its probability, then sum all probability-weighted outcomes.
- 6
Calculate the expected value when outcome 1 is worth £180,000 with a probability of 0.3, and outcome 2 is worth £465,000 with a probability of 0.7.
Model answer
Expected value = (180,000 × 0.3) + (465,000 × 0.7) = 54,000 + 325,500 = £379,500.
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