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Financial Markets and Monetary Policy

What the MPC considers, and the exchange rate channel

  • 4 things to know
  • Papers 2 and 3

Overview

The data behind an interest rate decision, and how the exchange rate carries policy into the economy.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Numbers

Why do growth and expected inflation matter to the MPC's rate decision?

Numbers

How do confidence and wage growth influence the MPC's decision?

Numbers

How does an appreciation of the exchange rate affect the domestic price of imports?

Numbers

How does the asset price channel of monetary policy work?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    Why does the MPC consider the current rate of inflation when setting bank rate?

    Model answer

    To assess whether inflation is above, below, or at the target, guiding the appropriate policy response.

  2. 2

    Why is expected future inflation relevant to the MPC's interest rate decisions?

    Model answer

    Monetary policy operates with time lags, so the MPC must anticipate where inflation is heading to act pre-emptively.

  3. 3

    Why does the MPC take the rate of economic growth into account when setting bank rate?

    Model answer

    Strong growth may generate inflationary pressure, while weak growth may require stimulus; both influence the appropriate interest rate.

  4. 4

    How does the level of unemployment influence MPC decisions on bank rate?

    Model answer

    High unemployment may indicate spare capacity and low inflation risk, while low unemployment may signal wage and price pressures.

  5. 5

    Why is wage growth a factor the MPC considers when setting bank rate?

    Model answer

    Rising wages can feed through into higher production costs and cost-push inflation.

  6. 6

    How does consumer and business confidence affect MPC interest rate decisions?

    Model answer

    High confidence boosts spending and investment, potentially raising inflation; low confidence may weaken demand and reduce inflationary pressure.

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AA higher bank rate increases borrowing costs.
BA higher bank rate increases returns on savings.
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