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Fiscal Policy and Supply-Side Policies

The national debt and fiscal rules

  • 2 things to know
  • Papers 2 and 3

Overview

The debt-to-GDP ratio, why the interest rate and growth rate matter, who holds the debt, and the OBR.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Numbers

Why do the interest rate on debt and who holds it matter for sustainability?

Numbers

Why is the currency in which national debt is denominated significant?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    What is meant by greater fiscal space resulting from a budget surplus?

    Model answer

    Lower debt levels give the government more room to increase spending or cut taxes in the future without risking fiscal sustainability.

  2. 2

    Why is the debt-to-GDP ratio important when assessing the significance of national debt?

    Model answer

    It measures debt relative to the size of the economy, indicating the country's capacity to service and repay its debt.

  3. 3

    Why does the relationship between the interest rate on debt and the economic growth rate matter for debt sustainability?

    Model answer

    If growth exceeds the interest rate, the debt-to-GDP ratio can fall even with some borrowing; if interest exceeds growth, debt becomes harder to sustain.

  4. 4

    Why does it matter who holds the national debt?

    Model answer

    Debt held domestically keeps interest payments within the economy, whereas debt held by foreign creditors represents an outflow of income.

  5. 5

    Why is the currency in which national debt is denominated significant?

    Model answer

    Debt in the domestic currency can be serviced more easily as the government controls that currency; foreign-currency debt carries exchange-rate risk.

  6. 6

    What is the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)?

    Model answer

    An independent body that produces forecasts for the economy and public finances, assesses whether the government is likely to meet its fiscal targets, and scrutinises the costing of tax and spending measures.

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