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Tectonic Hazards

Monitoring, prediction and warning

  • 2 things to know
  • AS Unit 1 and A2 Unit 4

Overview

Four techniques used to monitor a volcano, harmonic tremor and seismic gap theory.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Numbers

Why did the Pacific have a tsunami warning system decades before the Indian Ocean did?

Key term

Distinguish prediction from forecasting.

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    Distinguish prediction from forecasting.

    Model answer

    A prediction states when and where a specific event will happen, while a forecast gives the probability of an event occurring within a stated period and area.

  2. 2

    Why can volcanic eruptions be predicted when earthquakes cannot?

    Model answer

    Magma gives days or weeks of measurable warning as it forces its way towards the surface, whereas the fracture that starts an earthquake gives no reliable signal before it happens.

  3. 3

    Name four techniques used to monitor a volcano.

    Model answer

    Seismometers to detect magma movement, tiltmeters and satellite radar to measure ground deformation, gas spectrometers to sample the emissions, and thermal imaging to detect heating of the ground.

  4. 4

    What is harmonic tremor, and what does it indicate?

    Model answer

    Harmonic tremor is a continuous rhythmic vibration rather than a sharp shock, and it indicates magma and gas moving through the plumbing of the volcano.

  5. 5

    Why do volcanologists watch for changes in sulphur dioxide emissions?

    Model answer

    A rising proportion of sulphur dioxide suggests that fresh magma is close to the surface, because that gas only comes out of solution at shallow depth.

  6. 6

    How does ground deformation give warning of an eruption?

    Model answer

    Magma filling a shallow chamber makes the flanks of the volcano bulge measurably, and tiltmeters and satellite radar can detect that long before there is anything to see.

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AFew coastal people recognised the signs.
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The Mariana Trench reaches almost 11,000 m below sea level.
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