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Macroeconomic Policies and Impact on Firms and Individuals

Time lags, policy conflicts and the limits of demand-side policy

  • 3 things to know
  • Papers 1 and 3

Overview

Recognition, implementation and impact lags, the different lag profiles of fiscal and monetary policy and how lags destabilise, the strengths and weaknesses of monetary and fiscal policy, the Phillips curve, conflicts between growth and the current account, the environment and deficit reduction, inflation against investment, uneven effects on firms, and policy trade-offs.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Key term

Why does the same macroeconomic policy affect firms in one economy very differently?

Key term

Distinguish between the implementation lag and the impact lag.

Key term

Why do fiscal and monetary policy have different lag profiles?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    What is a recognition lag?

    Model answer

    A recognition lag is the time between a change occurring in the economy and policymakers identifying it, because data are published with a delay and are often revised later.

  2. 2

    Distinguish between the implementation lag and the impact lag.

    Model answer

    The implementation lag is the time taken to decide on a policy and put it into effect, whereas the impact lag is the further time taken for that policy to work through to output, employment and inflation.

  3. 3

    Why do fiscal and monetary policy have different lag profiles?

    Model answer

    Interest rates can be changed at any scheduled meeting but take up to about two years to affect inflation, whereas tax and spending changes are usually tied to the Budget and slow to legislate but can reach demand quickly once they start.

  4. 4

    How can time lags make stabilisation policy destabilising?

    Model answer

    A stimulus decided during a downturn may only take full effect once the economy has already recovered, adding demand into a boom and amplifying the cycle it was meant to smooth.

  5. 5

    State two strengths of monetary policy.

    Model answer

    It can be adjusted quickly and reversed at the next meeting, and because it is set by an independent central bank with a published target it carries credibility with firms and financial markets.

  6. 6

    State two weaknesses of monetary policy.

    Model answer

    It is a blunt instrument that affects every sector and region alike, and it loses effectiveness when interest rates are already close to zero or when confidence is so weak that cheap credit is not taken up.

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