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Risk and the Financial Sector

Economic shocks and their impact on firms

  • 3 things to know
  • Papers 1 and 3

Overview

Economic shocks, demand-side and supply-side shocks and examples, the effect of an adverse supply shock on prices and output, long international supply chains, symmetric and asymmetric shocks, building resilience, just in time against resilience, energy price rises, uneven effects on firms, recessions in trading partners, permanent loss of capacity, and opportunities from shocks.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Key term

Distinguish between a symmetric and an asymmetric shock.

Key term

How does a sharp rise in energy prices affect an energy-intensive manufacturer?

Key term

Why can a severe shock permanently reduce an economy's productive capacity?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    Define an economic shock.

    Model answer

    An economic shock is a sudden and largely unexpected event that significantly shifts aggregate demand or aggregate supply.

  2. 2

    Distinguish between a demand-side and a supply-side shock.

    Model answer

    A demand-side shock is a sudden change in spending, such as a collapse in confidence or a recession in a major export market, whereas a supply-side shock is a sudden change in costs or capacity, such as an energy price spike or a broken supply chain.

  3. 3

    Give two examples of supply-side shocks.

    Model answer

    A sharp rise in world oil and gas prices, and a natural disaster or conflict that halts production of a key component or raw material.

  4. 4

    What does an adverse supply shock do to the price level and real output?

    Model answer

    It shifts short-run aggregate supply to the left, so the price level rises and real output falls.

  5. 5

    Why is a firm with a long international supply chain more exposed to shocks?

    Model answer

    There are more separate points at which the chain can break, lead times are long so a disruption cannot be corrected quickly, and stock held between stages is rarely enough to absorb it.

  6. 6

    Distinguish between a symmetric and an asymmetric shock.

    Model answer

    A symmetric shock affects all the countries or regions of a group in a similar way, whereas an asymmetric shock affects some and not others, so a single common policy response suits only part of the group.

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