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Control of the National Debt

Refinancing, confidence and market discipline

  • 3 things to know
  • All three components

Overview

Refinancing risk, sovereign debt crisis and market discipline.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

Your recallNot started
Key term

What is refinancing risk?

Key term

Why must a government keep returning to the bond market?

Key term

What happens if investors lose confidence in a government's finances?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    What is refinancing risk?

    Model answer

    Refinancing risk is the danger that maturing debt cannot be rolled over on acceptable terms. A government must sell new bonds to repay the old ones.

  2. 2

    Why must a government keep returning to the bond market?

    Model answer

    Bonds mature on fixed dates and must be repaid in full. New bonds are issued to fund the repayment unless a surplus is available.

  3. 3

    What happens if investors lose confidence in a government's finances?

    Model answer

    Investors demand a much higher yield or refuse to buy the new bonds at all. Borrowing costs rise sharply and a funding crisis can follow.

  4. 4

    What is a sovereign debt crisis?

    Model answer

    A sovereign debt crisis occurs when a government can no longer borrow at affordable rates. Emergency lending or default becomes the only remaining option.

  5. 5

    Why is confidence in the public finances partly self-fulfilling?

    Model answer

    Fear of default raises the yield demanded, which raises the interest bill and makes default more likely. A loss of confidence can create the very problem investors feared.

  6. 6

    Why does a large domestic investor base help a government?

    Model answer

    Domestic pension funds and insurers hold government bonds to match long-term liabilities in the same currency. Demand from them is steadier than demand from overseas investors.

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