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Economic Growth

Output gaps

  • 3 things to know
  • All three components

Overview

Negative and positive gaps, how they are estimated, why the estimate is revised so often, and what each implies for inflation and unemployment.

What you need to know

Answer each one before you reveal it.

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Key term

Define an output gap.

Key term

What is a negative output gap?

Key term

What is a positive output gap?

Questions from this subtopic

Each one with the model answer underneath.

  1. 1

    Define an output gap.

    Model answer

    An output gap is the difference between actual real output and the estimated potential output of the economy. The gap is usually expressed as a percentage of potential output.

  2. 2

    What is a negative output gap?

    Model answer

    A negative output gap exists when actual real output lies below potential output. Spare capacity and unemployment are the visible signs.

  3. 3

    What is a positive output gap?

    Model answer

    A positive output gap exists when actual real output exceeds the estimated potential output. Factors of production are being worked beyond their sustainable rate.

  4. 4

    What are the typical symptoms of a negative output gap?

    Model answer

    A negative output gap is accompanied by rising unemployment, weak inflation and low capacity utilisation. Firms report plenty of spare capacity.

  5. 5

    What are the typical symptoms of a positive output gap?

    Model answer

    A positive output gap is accompanied by rising inflation, skill shortages and long delivery times. Firms report working close to full capacity.

  6. 6

    Actual output is £980 billion and potential output is £1,000 billion. Calculate the output gap as a percentage.

    Model answer

    The gap is −£20 billion, and −£20 billion divided by £1,000 billion equals −0.02. The output gap is −2% of potential output.

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